Let’s use college stats to predict All-Star probabilities for the top-10 picks in the 2019 draft.
Category: The Draft
Generating stats-based historical comparisons for the draft lottery
As soon as a player is drafted, we compare them to historical stars based on their play styles. Let’s use their stats and some similarity metrics to create more concrete comparisons.
Predicting the best scorers in the 2019 draft with machine learning
With the 2019 draft unclear looking inconsistent after the top 3, let’s try to predict the best scorers in the draft with machine learning. Who will be the hidden gem who could shine as a scorer?
A new approach to analyzing the value of tanking: Markov chains
Many claim tanking is worth it because players drafted earlier have a higher chance of being good. However, the draft is random. Let’s use Markov chains (a random process) to analyze if tanking is worth it.
Using machine learning to predict hall of famers and all stars from the 2017 draft
Out of the first round in every draft class, on average, only 1 player makes the hall of fame, and about 2-3 players make an All-Star game at some point in their career. Let’s use classification models to see who those players are from the 2017 draft class.
Using machine learning to predict the best distributors in the 2018 draft
Though the top of the 2018 draft seems heavy on bigs and forwards, there’s bound to be several starting guards coming out of the draft class. Let’s see who has the best distributing ability by using historical college stats to predict NBA assists and turnovers.
Using machine learning to predict the best defenders in the 2018 draft
With defensive freaks like Mohamed Bamba and Jaren Jackson Jr., this draft class seems strong defensively. Examining how historical players’ college stats predicted their NBA defense, we can predict the best defenders for this upcoming draft class.
Using machine learning to predict the top shooters in the 2018 draft
With the NBA’s modern emphasis on 3-point shooting, draft good shooters has become more and more important. By looking at how historical players’ college shooting stats predicted their NBA PPG, we can predict the best shooters in the upcoming draft class.